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Post by keystone61 on Jun 14, 2018 0:17:45 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful.
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on Jun 14, 2018 0:45:39 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful. Oh, ya, deGrom would be perfect, but I’d prefer MadBum. On a side note, I need to go back and recalculate deGrom’s surplus value. I made a mistake when I did the math in my head, giving him the value of a hitter, instead of that of a pitcher. It’s important because a pitchers value is considerably less than that of a hitter. When I have a moment I’ll sit down and do the math. Without doing the math I can say that it is possible the Braves could make a deal that wouldn’t destroy the teams future, but it’s still very unlikely that the Mets would deal in the division.
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Post by Fumbduckery on Jun 14, 2018 1:17:06 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful. Oh, ya, deGrom would be perfect, but I’d prefer MadBum. On a side note, I need to go back and recalculate deGrom’s surplus value. I made a mistake when I did the math in my head, giving him the value of a hitter, instead of that of a pitcher. It’s important because a pitchers value is considerably less than that of a hitter. When I have a moment I’ll sit down and do the math. Without doing the math I can say that it is possible the Braves could make a deal that wouldn’t destroy the teams future, but it’s still very unlikely that the Mets would deal in the division. The problem I see there is competition with other teams. How many teams would put together legit or close to legit offers for either of those pitchers?
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Post by Drkirby on Jun 14, 2018 5:43:37 GMT -5
Wasn’t Aa the one who stupidly traded Syndergaard for Dickey the first time
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Post by keystone61 on Jun 14, 2018 11:02:39 GMT -5
Wasn’t Aa the one who stupidly traded Syndergaard for Dickey the first time In his defense, it's not hard to find a bad deal any GM has made. It comes with the territory.
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Post by Drkirby on Jun 14, 2018 12:28:15 GMT -5
The price is high, but not THAT high. It's higher than I'd pay, given what we have in the pipeline. I like deGrom as much as any pitcher out there, but I'd sooner hand out a big contract than gut the future to that extent. I assure you, the price would be THAT high, at a minimum. Honestly, it wouldn’t even make sense for the Mets to trade them because no team is going to give up the value necessary to make the deal wash value wise. This should put it into context... What's a fair price for deGrom? Buster Olney of ESPN posited that the Mets can ask for two elite MLB-ready prospects and two more high-end players from the lower minors. In short, four legitimate prospects and no mere throw-ins. That’s a combination of Acuña or Albies, Newcomb or Gohara, Riley, and probably one of Wentz//Touki/Anderson/Wilson/Pache. Plus you gotta throw in the extra player because the Mets would be trading in division. Cost’s more for NL Easterns. See: the Chris Sale haul
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on Jun 14, 2018 12:43:38 GMT -5
Oh, ya, deGrom would be perfect, but I’d prefer MadBum. On a side note, I need to go back and recalculate deGrom’s surplus value. I made a mistake when I did the math in my head, giving him the value of a hitter, instead of that of a pitcher. It’s important because a pitchers value is considerably less than that of a hitter. When I have a moment I’ll sit down and do the math. Without doing the math I can say that it is possible the Braves could make a deal that wouldn’t destroy the teams future, but it’s still very unlikely that the Mets would deal in the division. The problem I see there is competition with other teams. How many teams would put together legit or close to legit offers for either of those pitchers? [ Certainly that can’t be ignored, but using surplus value as a way to dertermine trade possibilities is more a way towards finding a baseline. You’ll certainly find a team willing to offer more than the baseline, but you’ll rarely find a deal completed where less was accepted.
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Post by jryanw on Jun 14, 2018 13:31:16 GMT -5
The price is high, but not THAT high. It's higher than I'd pay, given what we have in the pipeline. I like deGrom as much as any pitcher out there, but I'd sooner hand out a big contract than gut the future to that extent. I assure you, the price would be THAT high, at a minimum. Honestly, it wouldn’t even make sense for the Mets to trade them because no team is going to give up the value necessary to make the deal wash value wise. This should put it into context... What's a fair price for deGrom? Buster Olney of ESPN posited that the Mets can ask for two elite MLB-ready prospects and two more high-end players from the lower minors. In short, four legitimate prospects and no mere throw-ins. That’s a combination of Acuña or Albies, Newcomb or Gohara, Riley, and probably one of Wentz//Touki/Anderson/Wilson/Pache. Plus you gotta throw in the extra player because the Mets would be trading in division. Cost’s more for NL Easterns. Dude Albies I said no longer a prospect. Acuna is the best prospect in baseball and has already flashed his talent. I may have been a little low based on what buster said but you are very high(on the crack you mentioned earlier I assume lol). Based on Buster that would mean Wright, Soroka, Pache and Toussaint. I assure you no other team will offer a prospect haul batter than that.
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Post by jryanw on Jun 14, 2018 13:33:46 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful. No one would trade Acuna or Albies in a package for one of those guys. The normally very astute Nightman seems to have bumped his head. Lol
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on Jun 14, 2018 14:40:28 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful. No one would trade Acuna or Albies in a package for one of those guys. The normally very astute Nightman seems to have bumped his head. Lol [ I never claimed that anyone would trade them. I made the point that surplus value dictates that’s what deGrom is worth. That was before I realized that I had given deGrom the value of a hitter, rather than that of a pitcher; which is important because a pitchers values is significantly less than that of a hitter. So my package isn’t realistic. So, in a round about way I agree with you, but not for the reasons you mention.
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Post by Fumbduckery on Jun 14, 2018 15:50:07 GMT -5
The problem I see there is competition with other teams. How many teams would put together legit or close to legit offers for either of those pitchers? [ Certainly that can’t be ignored, but using surplus value as a way to dertermine trade possibilities is more a way towards finding a baseline. You’ll certainly find a team willing to offer more than the baseline, but you’ll rarely find a deal completed where less was accepted. To me that's the problem in this situation--ther'e sure to be at least 2-3 teams that will feel like one of these pitchers is THAT GUY they need to win the World Series and get wonky with what they offer. We're not just talking about two "good" pitchers here.
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peteorr
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Post by peteorr on Jun 14, 2018 15:50:23 GMT -5
I assure you, the price would be THAT high, at a minimum. Honestly, it wouldn’t even make sense for the Mets to trade them because no team is going to give up the value necessary to make the deal wash value wise. This should put it into context... What's a fair price for deGrom? Buster Olney of ESPN posited that the Mets can ask for two elite MLB-ready prospects and two more high-end players from the lower minors. In short, four legitimate prospects and no mere throw-ins. That’s a combination of Acuña or Albies, Newcomb or Gohara, Riley, and probably one of Wentz//Touki/Anderson/Wilson/Pache. Plus you gotta throw in the extra player because the Mets would be trading in division. Cost’s more for NL Easterns. Dude Albies I said no longer a prospect. Acuna is the best prospect in baseball and has already flashed his talent. I may have been a little low based on what buster said but you are very high(on the crack you mentioned earlier I assume lol). Based on Buster that would mean Wright, Soroka, Pache and Toussaint. I assure you no other team will offer a prospect haul batter than that. I already mentioned Wright who I really don't want to trade. He would only be a part of the trade. Wright, Soroka, Pache, and Toussant could very well be what it would require to trade for DeGrom and I would absolutely not make that trade. That is precisely why I said hard pass from the beginning. Long term the Braves are probably going to want to keep Freeman beyond 2021 and extend both Albies and Acuna. That will be expensive. The Braves will have to save dollars somewhere. That's where low cost pitching comes into play. You would be trading away that low cost pitching and a good outfield prospect. We've seen what Soroka is capable of already at the major league level. Wright was a great prospect for a reason and is having a good season in the minors. Toussant has been up and down and I haven't kept up with him as much as others. Toussaint has been good at AA both this season and last. He was a first round draft pick for a reason. DeGrom is an ace. Make no mistake about it. As I see it though you hurt the team in the long term and possibly even before DeGrom would be gone. Soroka is at least capable of being better than DeGrom and together both Soroka and Wright should outproduce DeGrom at the major league level in 2020 before DeGrom becomes a free agent. That would be leaving Touki and Pache out of the equation entirely. This deal would not be good for the Braves.
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Post by peteorr on Jun 14, 2018 15:55:53 GMT -5
I'm not arguing your point about value. What I really meant was that I wouldn't want to pay that. Hell, Newcomb is on an ace trajectory himself. It may very well not happen, but it could. Acuna and Albies are as close to untouchable as you can get. There's no way I make that trade. If you do that, and deGrom blows out his arm, you're stuck right back into rebuild mode, because our offense and defense would have already been hurt tremendously by the trade to begin with. Man, wouldn't you love to put deGrom at the top of our rotation though?? That would be beautiful. No one would trade Acuna or Albies in a package for one of those guys. The normally very astute Nightman seems to have bumped his head. Lol Didn't you say you were going to stop being rude to people? I'll let nightman decide if he cares and it is up to blue chair to decide if he wants to take action. But dude just try to be nice to people. You may disagree with nightman here. However, it is clear that nightman isn't being malicious. He isn't trying to troll you.
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Post by peteorr on Jun 14, 2018 16:07:47 GMT -5
Why are we even talking about DeGrom? Folty, Newcomb, and Soroka all have ERAs under 3. I've said from the start that the Braves centered the rebuild around pitching. The starting pitching is much improved. Gohara could be a starter long term. Allard could be promoted soon. Fried has at least had some good outings in the minors. It could work out for him in the majors. Wright has been mentioned in this tread and he's an elite pitching prospect. The previously mentioned pitchers will be at the top of the rotation. We have six good pitchers or pitching prospects and others who still have potential. We can perhaps talk about filling bullpen needs every now and then. Trading for DeGrom is an absolute NO and signing Bumgarner a year from now (assuming that he's healthy and pitching well) likely won't even need to be a consideration given the pitching talent the Braves already have on hand.
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Post by jahgentle on Jun 14, 2018 16:08:42 GMT -5
No one would trade Acuna or Albies in a package for one of those guys. The normally very astute Nightman seems to have bumped his head. Lol Didn't you say you were going to stop being rude to people? I'll let nightman decide if he cares and it is up to blue chair to decide if he wants to take action. But dude just try to be nice to people. You may disagree with nightman here. However, it is clear that nightman isn't being malicious. He isn't trying to troll you. You need to lay off the Tori Amos man.
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