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Post by wncbravesfan on Aug 1, 2018 6:23:59 GMT -5
UP NEXT:
Marlins: RHP Pablo Lopez (2-2, 5.34 ERA) will make his sixth career start in Wednesday night's final game of the series. It will be his first start against Atlanta.
Braves: RHP Anibal Sanchez (5-3, 3.00) is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in three career games against Miami.
DEADLINE DEALS:
Each team was busy at the non-waiver trade deadline before the game.
The Marlins obtained prospects in deals that sent outfielder Cameron Maybin to Seattle and reliever Brad Ziegler to Arizona.
The Braves acquired right-handers Kevin Gausman and Darren O'Day from the Baltimore Orioles in exchange for four prospects. Atlanta optioned outfielder Michael Reed to Triple-A Gwinnett to clear a roster spot for outfielder Adam Duvall, acquired from Cincinnati late Monday night.
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Post by littlebeast1 on Aug 1, 2018 8:37:37 GMT -5
Let's get August off to a good start, sweep the Fish and pull into a tie for first!
Go Bravos!
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Post by wncbravesfan on Aug 1, 2018 8:50:06 GMT -5
Career Leaders for Grand Slams (Top 1,000) www.baseball-almanac.com/hitting/higs1.shtmlDoug Decinces w/ 6? Brian McCann w/ 11?? WoW Manny Machado w/ 8 already !! Bryce Harper only 3 thus far.... Ty Cobb had 4 Johnny Bench had 11 (my favorite player of all time!)
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Aug 1, 2018 10:22:08 GMT -5
PA
Do I drive out there or will this be a washout?
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Post by keystone61 on Aug 1, 2018 13:20:20 GMT -5
I'm no weather man, but it doesn't look good.
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Post by PABraveFan on Aug 1, 2018 13:53:23 GMT -5
I'm no weather man, but it doesn't look good. Didn't look good last night either but I suspected with a delay that the showers would lighten and become more intermittent by 9PM and the MCS to the west would lift north. Models were in good agreement and I put that out early in the afternoon. Those things panned out and although we had to play through a few light showers and some short spans of moderate showers the game was able to be played. Slightly less optimistic about tonight but it's not out of the question. Models aren't in as much agreement today, RAP has higher rainfall amounts and later into the evening and HRRR is jumping around a bit with timing and accumulations. Nevertheless, tonight should be similar albeit showers may be more numerous and last a bit later. I'm finishing up my analysis and this one is much tougher to call. Showers could persist or we could get a break.
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Post by littlebeast1 on Aug 1, 2018 14:27:11 GMT -5
I'm no weather man, but it doesn't look good. Didn't look good last night either but I suspected with a delay that the showers would lighten and become more intermittent by 9PM and the MCS to the west would lift north. Models were in good agreement and I put that out early in the afternoon. Those things panned out and although we had to play through a few light showers and some short spans of moderate showers the game was able to be played. Slightly less optimistic about tonight but it's not out of the question. Models aren't in as much agreement today, RAP has higher rainfall amounts and later into the evening and HRRR is jumping around a bit with timing and accumulations. Nevertheless, tonight should be similar albeit showers may be more numerous and last a bit later. I'm finishing up my analysis and this one is much tougher to call. Showers could persist or we could get a break. Thanks, OFW! Your input is valued and definitely appreciated.
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Post by PABraveFan on Aug 1, 2018 14:32:43 GMT -5
*** WEATHER UPDATE*** Atlanta Metro Area 3:30PM EDT 8/1/2018
Continued SW flow at the surface and aloft, abundant moisture and instability persist in the area. Convective development bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout central and norther GA today. Several atmospheric short waves will propagate along a stationary front in the Mississippi Valley and the timing of numerous showers and storms will be predicated on the timing of these pockets of instability. Mesoscale convective severe weather indices are slightly less impressive today indicating just moderate convection this afternoon and evening. An isolated severe storm is possible but any significant chances of widespread severe weather is low. Severe weather indices drop off considerably later this evening during game time. I expect more widespread and somewhat heavier rainfall accumulations today (11 AM -11 PM) generally averaging about 1" in north central GA by 11 PM but some areas will pick up 2"-3" and isolated areas even more while other may only be in the .25-.5" range. The steady SW flow aloft leads to the continual passing of showers and storms over the same area know as "training". Some areas will experience that today while others will have more intermittent activity. The NAM, HREF and Euro push the axis of heaviest rain to the west and north today while the GFS has the axis more over the metro area and somewhat lighter rainfall. HRRR has the axis just east of the metro area although the latest 18Z data just in shows the axis moving to the west and 11 AM-11 PM rainfall amounts increasing to .55". HRRR has been persistent with some heavier rain (.5" or more) in the Atlanta Metro area between 7 PM and 9 PM.Once again activity should should diminish slightly as we move into the evening hours and between short wave pulses aloft but another disturbance will cause more showers to develop in the overnight hours (i.e. 3-5 AM). I'm skeptical of the GFS as an outlier but I should have a better idea with the 12Z Euro and the 18Z GFS/NAM and several more HRRR data outputs. I would expect the axis of heaviest rain to be west and north of the metro area but that doesn't preclude some heavy showers in the metro area due to the close proximity of the expected axis and also some heavy pockets to the south and east though not as concentrated. This would also agree nicely with my analysis and projected upper air dynamics.
Now for the important game time period. Confidence is not as high as yesterday but most models once again have the Smyrna area in the .1-.25" range from 8-11 PM although several models do have pockets of .5" through 11 PM but once again most of that falls between 8 and 9 PM and some between 9 and 10 PM. My only take from this is that we could be looking at a very similar situation to last night although the showers in the metro area could be a bit more numerous and extend a bit later into the evening before turning to intermittent and diminishing. In summary I would expect showers and a few thunderstorms to be scattered through 8-9 PM and becoming more intermittent after 9 PM. As far as the game goes it may depend on how bad they want to get it in. There may be a window to start but will most likely be a delay or we could just delay the game and start later in the evening but even then showers may extend a bit longer in most parts of the area and there is also the threat of light to moderate showers persisting or a brief heavy shower after 9/10 PM. I'm of the opinion now that there will be a window of several hours between 8 PM and 2 AM where we could play although that window may be interrupted several times with light to moderate showers, some maybe heavy enough to cause a delay possibly resulting in an AM finish. Temps should be in the mid 70's dipping to the lower 70's and maybe even upper 60's if some rain showers are present. Generally light winds, except during storms, blowing in from right/center at Suntrust Park. I'll keep a tab on the radar and high resolution models to see if I can detect any trends that may reinforce or change my thoughts. -PA
GO BRAVES!
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Post by wncbravesfan on Aug 1, 2018 16:09:01 GMT -5
*** WEATHER UPDATE*** Atlanta Metro Area 3:30PM EDT 8/1/2018 Continued SW flow at the surface and aloft, abundant moisture and instability persist in the area. Convective development bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout central and norther GA today. Several atmospheric short waves will propagate along a stationary front in the Mississippi Valley and the timing of numerous showers and storms will be predicated on the timing of these pockets of instability. Mesoscale convective severe weather indices are slightly less impressive today indicating just moderate convection this afternoon and evening. An isolated severe storm is possible but any significant chances of widespread severe weather is low. Severe weather indices drop off considerably later this evening during game time. I expect more widespread and somewhat heavier rainfall accumulations today (11 AM -11 PM) generally averaging about 1" in north central GA by 11 PM but some areas will pick up 2"-3" and isolated areas even more while other may only be in the .25-.5" range. The steady SW flow aloft leads to the continual passing of showers and storms over the same area know as "training". Some areas will experience that today while others will have more intermittent activity. The NAM, HREF and Euro push the axis of heaviest rain to the west and north today while the GFS has the axis more over the metro area and somewhat lighter rainfall. HRRR has the axis just east of the metro area although the latest 18Z data just in shows the axis moving to the west and 11 AM-11 PM rainfall amounts increasing to .55". HRRR has been persistent with some heavier rain (.5" or more) in the Atlanta Metro area between 7 PM and 9 PM.Once again activity should should diminish slightly as we move into the evening hours and between short wave pulses aloft but another disturbance will cause more showers to develop in the overnight hours (i.e. 3-5 AM). I'm skeptical of the GFS as an outlier but I should have a better idea with the 12Z Euro and the 18Z GFS/NAM and several more HRRR data outputs. I would expect the axis of heaviest rain to be west and north of the metro area but that doesn't preclude some heavy showers in the metro area due to the close proximity of the expected axis and also some heavy pockets to the south and east though not as concentrated. This would also agree nicely with my analysis and projected upper air dynamics. Now for the important game time period. Confidence is not as high as yesterday but most models once again have the Smyrna area in the .1-.25" range from 8-11 PM although several models do have pockets of .5" through 11 PM but once again most of that falls between 8 and 9 PM and some between 9 and 10 PM. My only take from this is that we could be looking at a very similar situation to last night although the showers in the metro area could be a bit more numerous and extend a bit later into the evening before turning to intermittent and diminishing. In summary I would expect showers and a few thunderstorms to be scattered through 8-9 PM and becoming more intermittent after 9 PM. As far as the game goes it may depend on how bad they want to get it in. There may be a window to start but will most likely be a delay or we could just delay the game and start later in the evening but even then showers may extend a bit longer in most parts of the area and there is also the threat of light to moderate showers persisting or a brief heavy shower after 9/10 PM. I'm of the opinion now that there will be a window of several hours between 8 PM and 2 AM where we could play although that window may be interrupted several times with light to moderate showers, some maybe heavy enough to cause a delay possibly resulting in an AM finish. Temps should be in the mid 70's dipping to the lower 70's and maybe even upper 60's if some rain showers are present. Generally light winds, except during storms, blowing in from right/center at Suntrust Park. I'll keep a tab on the radar and high resolution models to see if I can detect any trends that may reinforce or change my thoughts. -PA GO BRAVES! Just looking at the Atlanta weather on my iPhone in Western NC, it looks like rain all night at that zip code, UGH.
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Aug 1, 2018 17:32:38 GMT -5
I can attest to the fact that it's raining right now there
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Post by PABraveFan on Aug 1, 2018 17:47:41 GMT -5
*** WEATHER UPDATE*** Atlanta Metro Area 3:30PM EDT 8/1/2018 Continued SW flow at the surface and aloft, abundant moisture and instability persist in the area. Convective development bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout central and norther GA today. Several atmospheric short waves will propagate along a stationary front in the Mississippi Valley and the timing of numerous showers and storms will be predicated on the timing of these pockets of instability. Mesoscale convective severe weather indices are slightly less impressive today indicating just moderate convection this afternoon and evening. An isolated severe storm is possible but any significant chances of widespread severe weather is low. Severe weather indices drop off considerably later this evening during game time. I expect more widespread and somewhat heavier rainfall accumulations today (11 AM -11 PM) generally averaging about 1" in north central GA by 11 PM but some areas will pick up 2"-3" and isolated areas even more while other may only be in the .25-.5" range. The steady SW flow aloft leads to the continual passing of showers and storms over the same area know as "training". Some areas will experience that today while others will have more intermittent activity. The NAM, HREF and Euro push the axis of heaviest rain to the west and north today while the GFS has the axis more over the metro area and somewhat lighter rainfall. HRRR has the axis just east of the metro area although the latest 18Z data just in shows the axis moving to the west and 11 AM-11 PM rainfall amounts increasing to .55". HRRR has been persistent with some heavier rain (.5" or more) in the Atlanta Metro area between 7 PM and 9 PM.Once again activity should should diminish slightly as we move into the evening hours and between short wave pulses aloft but another disturbance will cause more showers to develop in the overnight hours (i.e. 3-5 AM). I'm skeptical of the GFS as an outlier but I should have a better idea with the 12Z Euro and the 18Z GFS/NAM and several more HRRR data outputs. I would expect the axis of heaviest rain to be west and north of the metro area but that doesn't preclude some heavy showers in the metro area due to the close proximity of the expected axis and also some heavy pockets to the south and east though not as concentrated. This would also agree nicely with my analysis and projected upper air dynamics. Now for the important game time period. Confidence is not as high as yesterday but most models once again have the Smyrna area in the .1-.25" range from 8-11 PM although several models do have pockets of .5" through 11 PM but once again most of that falls between 8 and 9 PM and some between 9 and 10 PM. My only take from this is that we could be looking at a very similar situation to last night although the showers in the metro area could be a bit more numerous and extend a bit later into the evening before turning to intermittent and diminishing. In summary I would expect showers and a few thunderstorms to be scattered through 8-9 PM and becoming more intermittent after 9 PM. As far as the game goes it may depend on how bad they want to get it in. There may be a window to start but will most likely be a delay or we could just delay the game and start later in the evening but even then showers may extend a bit longer in most parts of the area and there is also the threat of light to moderate showers persisting or a brief heavy shower after 9/10 PM. I'm of the opinion now that there will be a window of several hours between 8 PM and 2 AM where we could play although that window may be interrupted several times with light to moderate showers, some maybe heavy enough to cause a delay possibly resulting in an AM finish. Temps should be in the mid 70's dipping to the lower 70's and maybe even upper 60's if some rain showers are present. Generally light winds, except during storms, blowing in from right/center at Suntrust Park. I'll keep a tab on the radar and high resolution models to see if I can detect any trends that may reinforce or change my thoughts. -PA GO BRAVES! Just looking at the Atlanta weather on my iPhone in Western NC, it looks like rain all night at that zip code, UGH. All depends on how bad they want to try. Maybe with both teams needing to leave town they'll just bag it.
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Post by keystone61 on Aug 1, 2018 17:48:00 GMT -5
*** WEATHER UPDATE*** Atlanta Metro Area 3:30PM EDT 8/1/2018 Continued SW flow at the surface and aloft, abundant moisture and instability persist in the area. Convective development bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout central and norther GA today. Several atmospheric short waves will propagate along a stationary front in the Mississippi Valley and the timing of numerous showers and storms will be predicated on the timing of these pockets of instability. Mesoscale convective severe weather indices are slightly less impressive today indicating just moderate convection this afternoon and evening. An isolated severe storm is possible but any significant chances of widespread severe weather is low. Severe weather indices drop off considerably later this evening during game time. I expect more widespread and somewhat heavier rainfall accumulations today (11 AM -11 PM) generally averaging about 1" in north central GA by 11 PM but some areas will pick up 2"-3" and isolated areas even more while other may only be in the .25-.5" range. The steady SW flow aloft leads to the continual passing of showers and storms over the same area know as "training". Some areas will experience that today while others will have more intermittent activity. The NAM, HREF and Euro push the axis of heaviest rain to the west and north today while the GFS has the axis more over the metro area and somewhat lighter rainfall. HRRR has the axis just east of the metro area although the latest 18Z data just in shows the axis moving to the west and 11 AM-11 PM rainfall amounts increasing to .55". HRRR has been persistent with some heavier rain (.5" or more) in the Atlanta Metro area between 7 PM and 9 PM.Once again activity should should diminish slightly as we move into the evening hours and between short wave pulses aloft but another disturbance will cause more showers to develop in the overnight hours (i.e. 3-5 AM). I'm skeptical of the GFS as an outlier but I should have a better idea with the 12Z Euro and the 18Z GFS/NAM and several more HRRR data outputs. I would expect the axis of heaviest rain to be west and north of the metro area but that doesn't preclude some heavy showers in the metro area due to the close proximity of the expected axis and also some heavy pockets to the south and east though not as concentrated. This would also agree nicely with my analysis and projected upper air dynamics. Now for the important game time period. Confidence is not as high as yesterday but most models once again have the Smyrna area in the .1-.25" range from 8-11 PM although several models do have pockets of .5" through 11 PM but once again most of that falls between 8 and 9 PM and some between 9 and 10 PM. My only take from this is that we could be looking at a very similar situation to last night although the showers in the metro area could be a bit more numerous and extend a bit later into the evening before turning to intermittent and diminishing. In summary I would expect showers and a few thunderstorms to be scattered through 8-9 PM and becoming more intermittent after 9 PM. As far as the game goes it may depend on how bad they want to get it in. There may be a window to start but will most likely be a delay or we could just delay the game and start later in the evening but even then showers may extend a bit longer in most parts of the area and there is also the threat of light to moderate showers persisting or a brief heavy shower after 9/10 PM. I'm of the opinion now that there will be a window of several hours between 8 PM and 2 AM where we could play although that window may be interrupted several times with light to moderate showers, some maybe heavy enough to cause a delay possibly resulting in an AM finish. Temps should be in the mid 70's dipping to the lower 70's and maybe even upper 60's if some rain showers are present. Generally light winds, except during storms, blowing in from right/center at Suntrust Park. I'll keep a tab on the radar and high resolution models to see if I can detect any trends that may reinforce or change my thoughts. -PA GO BRAVES! Now THAT by god is a weather man!!
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Post by wncbravesfan on Aug 1, 2018 18:03:15 GMT -5
If they play, here is the lineup:
Ronald Acuña Jr. (LF) Ozzie Albies (2B) Freddie Freeman (1B) Nick Markakis (RF) Tyler Flowers (C) Johan Camargo (3B) Ender Inciarte (CF) Dansby Swanson (SS) Aníbal Sánchez (P)
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Aug 1, 2018 18:05:40 GMT -5
the rain here has slacked up a bit...
Just going to hang out at Ellets Steakhouse for awhile.
Weather was much better on Sunday!
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Post by PABraveFan on Aug 1, 2018 18:24:03 GMT -5
***WEATHER UPDATE*** Atlanta Metro Area 7:15 PM EDT 8/1/2018 The latest 19Z RAP and 19Z HRRR are encouraging if they are willing to try to play tonight. HRRR does bring in a showers just to the SE in the metro area between 8 PM and 10 PM and has been pretty consistent on that but has also been pretty consistent with just light rain until that time. Not sure I am a total buy in with that but hard to argue with that consistency. RAP is decreasing showers after 8 PM. The 22Z (6 PM local) RAP data just out is even more encouraging and the latest 22Z HRRR data is also more encouraging. It has some showers only between 8 and 9 PM and looks much lighter and less coverage than previous model runs although persists with a heavier shower cell (.25-.4") just to the east. Taking a look at the current radar some light and moderate showers will be moving through over the next hour. At quick glance I would say at least 8:15 PM-8:30 PM before they pass and probably about 9 PM - 9:30 PM before we can get underway UNLESS they are willing to play in some light to moderate showers, which would be a very questionable decision in my opinion as some of the moderate showers are a bit stronger and would really make the field iffy. After 9 PM the showers once again tonight should decrease in intensity and coverage for several hours although some intermittent light showers are likely and an occasion moderate shower could pass. It's looking better than several hours ago for sure. Like I said earlier, very similar to last night but maybe lasting just a bit later. -PA
GO BRAVES!
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