|
Post by PABraveFan on Mar 17, 2023 9:35:53 GMT -5
Slight chance tomorrow morning also 3/18. -PA
|
|
|
Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Mar 17, 2023 18:43:40 GMT -5
Thanks for the info.
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Mar 19, 2023 15:15:04 GMT -5
*** WEATHER OUTLOOK*** METMAN WEATHER SERVICES℠ 19 Mar 2023 3:45 PM EDT
Winter isn’t quite over yet…A brief look at late Winter and early Spring (Final Update)
The polar vortex (PV) continues to be disrupted/weakened by a major Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event that occurred on February 16 and continues to influence weather in the Northern Hemisphere, especially in northern Europe and the UK who were notably colder and snowier and the U.S. including a major nor'easter in New England last week. It's likely that the lingering effects of the PV disruption will continue to affect the weather across those areas for several more weeks. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) are negative to near normal and are expected to remain that way for the next several weeks. Continued weak wave flux favors continued strengthening of a weakened PV. Currently the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) has now recently transitioned into Phase 1 and expected to move into Phase 2 by mid-week. While this favors intermittent cooler periods the chances now for any new significant wintry precipitation for the east coast are reduced considerably and cold air incursions in the southern U.S. are now very unlikely, especially considering the strengthening polar vortex and seasonal progression. With the approaching Spring (vernal) equinox in the Northern Hemisphere and a strengthening PV it appears that the cold incursions and wintry pattern for most in the eastern U.S. will subside, except for higher elevations. A few warmer days in the East and South are in store this week with the central plains, the Midwest, Mid Atlantic and New England also warmer and the rest of the country remains mostly colder than average. Temperatures moderate to near normal next week in the South and near SW (i.e. Texas), and remain near to slightly above normal in the Midwest, and central plains but remain chilly in the West, far SW, northern tier and turn colder in the upper Mid Atlantic and NE. As the effects of this SSW induced PV disruption on surface weather diminishes long range outlooks for April are still trending near to slightly below average temperatures and near to slightly above average precipitation for the eastern U.S. This will be the last 'Winter and Spring' update concentrating on the SSW event that caused the polar vortex disruption eventually affecting the surface weather in most of the U.S.
Disclaimer: As a retired former DOD meteorologist and National Weather Service employee I am no longer authorized to issue official weather watches, warnings and advisories. This information is intended for specific users. These are my projections, opinions, and analysis and as such should be used by others only for information and planning at your own risk and not used in lieu of currently certified, licensed, and authorized meteorologists or certified and trained weather forecaster technicians from sources such as local media, National Weather Service, Accuweather, The Weather Channel etc.
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Aug 10, 2023 15:18:28 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Aug 16, 2023 13:54:40 GMT -5
Will this ever trickle down to local forecasting, because the people down here still have a pretty shoddy record!
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Aug 21, 2023 8:29:00 GMT -5
Will this ever trickle down to local forecasting, because the people down here still have a pretty shoddy record! Higher resolution and granularity should, in theory, produce significantly greater model accuracy especially on mesoscale (i.e. smaller scale/localized) events, especially the meso-γ (meso-gamma) scale (2 to 20 kilometers) at the lower end of the mesoscale. That will allow greater accuracy and quicker decisions on local warnings and watch areas. On a synoptic (i.e. larger scale) the changes would have less impact but should provide greater model accuracy on routine operational and environmental forecasting. -PA
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Nov 3, 2023 9:45:54 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Nov 8, 2023 19:57:44 GMT -5
Soooo many exciting times there. Wishing I could be there now. It IS rocket science!!!
Awesome video of rocket launch into aurora from Poker Flat, AK earlier today.
Mission: Dissipation
Dissipation science update. Sky is clear all over but there is no aurora activity at this time.
Sorry for the delay on updates. Vertical checks have been completed for both rockets now. Hopefully we will have a science update soon. 10 minutes and counting for dissipation on pad 3 We are holding at 4 minutes 30 seconds for dissipation. HERE WE GO !!!! 4:30 and counting for dissipation on pad 3 We are holding for science, stand by... OK, 1 minute and counting here we go !!
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Nov 13, 2023 9:14:27 GMT -5
It sounds like science fiction, but here's why NASA did it:
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Dec 7, 2023 14:21:30 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by Fumbduckery on Dec 7, 2023 21:38:27 GMT -5
Every AI robot ever questioned has stated human destruction as it's ultimate goal.
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Mar 4, 2024 18:45:47 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by PABraveFan on Apr 10, 2024 13:40:06 GMT -5
|
|