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Post by wncbravesfan on Sept 13, 2018 19:25:02 GMT -5
UP NEXT:
Nationals: RHP Max Scherzer (17-6, 2.31) starts the opener of a three-game series at Atlanta. The three-time Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 1.67 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 27 innings this season against the Braves.
Braves: RHP Kevin Gausman (9-10, 3.89 ERA) will pitch Friday at home against Washington. Gausman is 3-1 with a 4.34 ERA in five career starts against the Nationals.
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Post by PABraveFan on Sept 13, 2018 19:28:50 GMT -5
They gave Scherzer another day of rest. His normal scheduled start with 4 days rest would have been the make-up today but I'm sure they wanted him to start against the Braves. As a result the Nats lost today in 10 innings and fell another 1/2 game back! GOOD!
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whitedeion
Drafted
Leon Sandcastle
Posts: 155
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Post by whitedeion on Sept 13, 2018 19:51:41 GMT -5
Is tomorrow the 13th again? It's like Groundhog Day all over again here
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Sept 13, 2018 19:55:09 GMT -5
Is tomorrow the 13th again? It's like Groundhog Day all over again here Corrected |
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Post by Fumbduckery on Sept 13, 2018 20:25:42 GMT -5
It feels like we've faced Scherzer about 12 times this season.
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Sept 13, 2018 21:01:00 GMT -5
It feels like we've faced Scherzer about 12 times this season. We have faced him in 5 of the 6 series we have played against the gNats, including both times we had brief 2 game series where the odds should have led us to miss him at least once. |
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Post by keystone61 on Sept 14, 2018 6:13:28 GMT -5
Don't like our odds in this game. First home game following a road trip + facing Scherzer = TROUBLE.
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Post by Hart's Middle Finger on Sept 14, 2018 7:39:22 GMT -5
We're 5-5 in this situation this year, and considering our overall home record that isn't unreasonably skewed as a trend.
The odds makers have the gNats as a fairly solid favorite, but not an overwhelming one. In fact in terms of betting in this
situation the Braves would be a value bet at +144, but that doesn't mean necessarily they have a 50/50 chance. it's more
like a 45% chance is a good time if the odds are you win $144 for a $100 bet if you do.
I checked one of my betting sites for the numbers and home underdogs coming off a road trip of 7 or more games is usually
a value bet if you go with them.
The X factor here is Scherzer which throws a monkey into anyone's wrench. I think the home underdog trend in game 1
after a road trip actually brings the odds down a bit from where they would normally be if we were say, facing Scherzer in
game 3 of this series.
So while I think overall the odds are against us and wouldn't bet this game, they are not as bad as you might imagine.
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Post by littlebeast1 on Sept 14, 2018 8:04:33 GMT -5
Don't like our odds in this game. First home game following a road trip + facing Scherzer = TROUBLE.  |
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Post by keystone61 on Sept 14, 2018 10:00:53 GMT -5
I'm hoping we have the edge from a mental standpoint, but that's pretty dadgum unpredictable. I want the team relaxed, but not TOO relaxed, and that may be what happens to the team at home. I have no idea what it is, but SOMETHING happens to us at home, and I think it's mental.
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Post by littlebeast1 on Sept 14, 2018 10:39:59 GMT -5
I'm hoping we have the edge from a mental standpoint, but that's pretty dadgum unpredictable. I want the team relaxed, but not TOO relaxed, and that may be what happens to the team at home. I have no idea what it is, but SOMETHING happens to us at home, and I think it's mental. I think it's important for us to gain back our advantage at home and have a very successful home stand. Would love to see us win 7 of the 10. So far, in almost two seasons we are 74-78 at Suntrust. Not good. Fans heading out there the next ten games need to BRING IT and pump these guys up at home. Should be a 1991 atmosphere as far as I'm concerned. |
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Post by keystone61 on Sept 14, 2018 12:16:46 GMT -5
I'm hoping we have the edge from a mental standpoint, but that's pretty dadgum unpredictable. I want the team relaxed, but not TOO relaxed, and that may be what happens to the team at home. I have no idea what it is, but SOMETHING happens to us at home, and I think it's mental. I think it's important for us to gain back our advantage at home and have a very successful home stand. Would love to see us win 7 of the 10. So far, in almost two seasons we are 74-78 at Suntrust. Not good. Fans heading out there the next ten games need to BRING IT and pump these guys up at home. Should be a 1991 atmosphere as far as I'm concerned. Agreed. IF we make the playoffs, you simply can't expect to win on the road at the clip that we have this year. Defending the home field is very important. |
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Post by PABraveFan on Sept 14, 2018 13:14:35 GMT -5
I'll be away tonight so probably won't get to see much of the game. I'll definitely be watching the big FOX game tomorrow. I invite all to review the weather/global warming tread for my thoughts and the latest on Florence and my reasoning on why Florence downgraded so fast. The path had been pretty set since Tuesday when several important global models started trending it a bit farther south and the timing of landfall was slowly being pushed back with each model run.
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Post by Fumbduckery on Sept 14, 2018 13:16:42 GMT -5
"Their high-water mark came a week after the trade deadline when they swept the Marlins to raise their record to 15 games over .500 and their lead over the Braves in the NL East to 1.5 games. Since then, entering the weekend series against Miami, the Phillies lost 23 of 34 games and played 11 straight series without winning a one of them. Considering that only two of those series were played against teams that would currently be included in the playoffs — the Red Sox and the Cubs — that's a heck of a feat."
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Post by Fumbduckery on Sept 14, 2018 13:19:27 GMT -5
Looks like hollins posted in the comments section below the article:
"Take away a few bad calls in a half dozen games and the Phils would be battling the Braves neck and neck."
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