bravepap
Drafted
Mean people suck!
Posts: 339
Likes: 133
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Post by bravepap on May 21, 2018 6:32:14 GMT -5
Statistically, if you went by what the WAR Gods say, it would be..... Freddie Ozzie Nick Ender Dansby Kurt Ryan Preston If we are so bent on changing a lineup, let's do it the true Saber Way.
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Post by Fumbduckery on May 21, 2018 10:55:57 GMT -5
Thanks for bursting our bubble you jerk! I kind of instinctively knew all of this. But I cant believe he’ll end the season with a .735 OPS. I just scanned it really quickly, I recall a line saying he doesn’t hit the ball hard. I find that a bit hard to believe.
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Post by littlebeast1 on May 21, 2018 15:42:43 GMT -5
This should have been the shortest article in the history of articles.
Is Ozzie Albies Really This Good?
Yes
Nuff Said
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Post by brady2705 on May 21, 2018 18:21:41 GMT -5
This should have been the shortest article in the history of articles.
Is Ozzie Albies Really This Good?
Yes
Nuff Said
I like the Statcadt data MLB gives us. It tells us his average exit velocity is 87.71 mph, below the league average of 89.04 mph. So it seems like it's true, he doesn't mash it like Acuna or others you'd expect to post big HR numbers. It also tells us his average launch angle is 17.79, when league average is 12.53 degrees. So, he gets it in the air, which is good, and while he doesn't hit it as hard as most, he still is obviously capable of hitting it hard enough to clear the wall. Which is all that matters. My gripe with Albies is about his approach. Since he isn't 6'5" like Freeman, and he doesn't have the God-given bat-speed of Acuna, he's not inclined to hit a lot of HRs unless he consistently squares it up perfectly. I suspect that's really hard to do week-in, week-out. My fear is his 1.053 OPS April has created bad habits. He now is trying to launch, swinging too frequently, not displaying patience and waiting for the right pitch. He's sporting a 5% walk-rate this year -- historically, he's been more of a 8% walk-rate (both last year, and in his MiLB career). He needs to get back to that, even if he keeps trying to mold himself into a power hitter. Nothing wrong with launching, but he's got to be more selective. He can't keep trying to hit everything -- he's being exposed. His .779 May OPS is representative of that. And his .298 OPS in May is particularly problematic. You can't do that in the leadoff slot. If Albies won't change, he and Ender ought to switch the 1/6 slots. You can absorb a .298 OBP lower in the order where he's more concerned with RBIs than Runs.
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on May 22, 2018 23:10:44 GMT -5
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on May 22, 2018 23:12:07 GMT -5
This should have been the shortest article in the history of articles.
Is Ozzie Albies Really This Good?
Yes
Nuff Said
I like the Statcadt data MLB gives us. It tells us his average exit velocity is 87.71 mph, below the league average of 89.04 mph. So it seems like it's true, he doesn't mash it like Acuna or others you'd expect to post big HR numbers. It also tells us his average launch angle is 17.79, when league average is 12.53 degrees. So, he gets it in the air, which is good, and while he doesn't hit it as hard as most, he still is obviously capable of hitting it hard enough to clear the wall. Which is all that matters. My gripe with Albies is about his approach. Since he isn't 6'5" like Freeman, and he doesn't have the God-given bat-speed of Acuna, he's not inclined to hit a lot of HRs unless he consistently squares it up perfectly. I suspect that's really hard to do week-in, week-out. My fear is his 1.053 OPS April has created bad habits. He now is trying to launch, swinging too frequently, not displaying patience and waiting for the right pitch. He's sporting a 5% walk-rate this year -- historically, he's been more of a 8% walk-rate (both last year, and in his MiLB career). He needs to get back to that, even if he keeps trying to mold himself into a power hitter. Nothing wrong with launching, but he's got to be more selective. He can't keep trying to hit everything -- he's being exposed. His .779 May OPS is representative of that. And his .298 OPS in May is particularly problematic. You can't do that in the leadoff slot. If Albies won't change, he and Ender ought to switch the 1/6 slots. You can absorb a .298 OBP lower in the order where he's more concerned with RBIs than Runs. Ya, but what's his average exit velocity on his home runs??? The exit velocity their using is based on all batted balls put into play.
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Post by Fumbduckery on May 22, 2018 23:20:36 GMT -5
I like the Statcadt data MLB gives us. It tells us his average exit velocity is 87.71 mph, below the league average of 89.04 mph. So it seems like it's true, he doesn't mash it like Acuna or others you'd expect to post big HR numbers. It also tells us his average launch angle is 17.79, when league average is 12.53 degrees. So, he gets it in the air, which is good, and while he doesn't hit it as hard as most, he still is obviously capable of hitting it hard enough to clear the wall. Which is all that matters. My gripe with Albies is about his approach. Since he isn't 6'5" like Freeman, and he doesn't have the God-given bat-speed of Acuna, he's not inclined to hit a lot of HRs unless he consistently squares it up perfectly. I suspect that's really hard to do week-in, week-out. My fear is his 1.053 OPS April has created bad habits. He now is trying to launch, swinging too frequently, not displaying patience and waiting for the right pitch. He's sporting a 5% walk-rate this year -- historically, he's been more of a 8% walk-rate (both last year, and in his MiLB career). He needs to get back to that, even if he keeps trying to mold himself into a power hitter. Nothing wrong with launching, but he's got to be more selective. He can't keep trying to hit everything -- he's being exposed. His .779 May OPS is representative of that. And his .298 OPS in May is particularly problematic. You can't do that in the leadoff slot. If Albies won't change, he and Ender ought to switch the 1/6 slots. You can absorb a .298 OBP lower in the order where he's more concerned with RBIs than Runs. Ya, but what's his average exit velocity on his home runs??? The exit velocity their using is based on all batted balls put into play. And what's even wrong with a 20 year old rookie having basically average MLB exit velocity?
I would have been happy as heck with that if you told me that before the season started.
I know the point is that he's not going to hit 45 HR's this year or maintain a near .300 average, but we don't need him to do those things.
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on May 22, 2018 23:24:21 GMT -5
Ya, but what's his average exit velocity on his home runs??? The exit velocity their using is based on all batted balls put into play. And what's even wrong with a 20 year old rookie having basically average MLB exit velocity?
I would have been happy as heck with that if you told me that before the season started.
I know the point is that he's not going to hit 45 HR's this year or maintain a near .300 average, but we don't need him to do those things.
And who's really gonna complain about exit velocity and walks when he's putting up a 145 wRC+?? Seriously, he's exactly what we were hoping Uggla would be.
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Post by Fumbduckery on May 22, 2018 23:33:20 GMT -5
And what's even wrong with a 20 year old rookie having basically average MLB exit velocity?
I would have been happy as heck with that if you told me that before the season started.
I know the point is that he's not going to hit 45 HR's this year or maintain a near .300 average, but we don't need him to do those things.
And who's really gonna complain about exit velocity and walks when he's putting up a 145 wRC+?? Seriously, he's exactly what we were hoping Uggla would be. For realz!
But please don't ever put those two names in the same sentence again, that put a cold shiver down my spine and made me twitch a few times.
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on May 23, 2018 0:05:12 GMT -5
And who's really gonna complain about exit velocity and walks when he's putting up a 145 wRC+?? Seriously, he's exactly what we were hoping Uggla would be. For realz!
But please don't ever put those two names in the same sentence again, that put a cold shiver down my spine and made me twitch a few times.
Haha, it’s true tho. Now the Braves just need Bryce Harper and they’ll be WS champs
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Post by Fumbduckery on May 23, 2018 0:11:22 GMT -5
For realz!
But please don't ever put those two names in the same sentence again, that put a cold shiver down my spine and made me twitch a few times.
Haha, it’s true tho. Now the Braves just need Bryce Harper and they’ll be WS champs In your wet dreams!
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Post by TheCoronaManCometh on May 23, 2018 0:21:30 GMT -5
Haha, it’s true tho. Now the Braves just need Bryce Harper and they’ll be WS champs In your wet dreams!
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Post by Fumbduckery on May 23, 2018 1:02:39 GMT -5
What is this.....I don't even........
Oh, wait, I like it....
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Post by keystone61 on May 23, 2018 6:06:01 GMT -5
Haha, it’s true tho. Now the Braves just need Bryce Harper and they’ll be WS champs In your wet dreams! I think that's true! You know, the nightman/Harper wet dreams thing.......
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Post by brady2705 on May 23, 2018 7:03:22 GMT -5
Glad to see this tread revived! Although it seems to have gotten off track ... way to go Nightman Regarding EV, his average on just HRs is 102mph, which places him at #272 out of #371. I was surprised to see most of the guys average well over 100 on their HRs. 105+ seemed to be quite common. Freddie is at 105mph, good for #137, as an example. To the comment that he's "near league AVG EV," you have to remember the sampling is really tight here. ~2mph is actually a good bit of difference in this data-set. Think of it like starting-pitcher velocity of 89 and 91, they're only 2mph apart ... One is roughly average, the other is not. Same thing here. I'll give Ozzie credit, last night was basically my "Perfect Ozzie game." He took the first pitch each PA, with one exception. The exception was a hanging breaking ball right down Broadway, and he cranked it. But, in general, he was much more patient. Worked a walk, and generally had PAs with deep counts. I'll take that approach from him every night please
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