Post by PABraveFan on Sept 27, 2024 7:45:49 GMT -5
***WEATHER UPDATE*** METMAN WEATHER SERVICES℠ 27 Sep 2023 8:40 AM EDT NW Atlanta Metro Area BRAVES GAME FORECAST (7:20 PM EDT)
The rain should be ending within the next hour or two. After that cloudy and maybe some drizzle or very light rain until about noon before becoming partly cloudy.
Game Time Forecast: Partly cloudy with temps in low 70's at game time falling to the upper 60's. Winds S 8-14 MPH G24. Max Gust 33 MPH. No precipitation is expected.
GO BRAVES!!!
-PA
The rain should be ending within the next hour or two. After that cloudy and maybe some drizzle or very light rain until about noon before becoming partly cloudy.
Game Time Forecast: Partly cloudy with temps in low 70's at game time falling to the upper 60's. Winds S 8-14 MPH G24. Max Gust 33 MPH. No precipitation is expected.
Rainfall totals since Wednesday for north and north central GA.
Forecasted total rainfall amount totals from 10:15 AM EDT 25 SEP 2024 (data analysis from 06Z 2 AM, 09Z 5 AM, and 12Z 8 AM model runs on 9/25/2024)
8-12" is expected in north central and NE GA, extreme eastern AL, and the mountains of SE TN, NE SC, and SW NC, Some areas in the mountains could receive 12-16" with isolated 20" totals possible in SW NC.
6-8" is expected in parts of FL panhandle, eastern AL, SE TN, GA, western NC, and NE SC, and extreme SW VA.
4-6" of rain is expected in many areas farther from the track as well as 2-4" as far away as AR, MO, KY, WV, central VA, central SC, central NC
Rainfall totals as of 9 AM EDT 9/27/2024
Atlanta, Hartsfield - Jackson Atlanta International Airport 10.9"
Fulton County Airport-Brown Field 9.6"
Peachtree City Atlanta Regional Airport-Falcon Field 9.4"
Marietta / Dobbins Air Force Base 9.1"
Lawrenceville Gwinnett County Airport-Briscoe Field 8.2"
Athens, Athens Airport 6.7"
Gainesville, Gilmer Memorial Airport 8.4"
Rome, R. B. Russell Airport 6.7"
Looks like the forecast worked out pretty well in northern GA, a little high in parts of central and southern GA where 4-4.5" seemed to be common. If anyone is in other areas of GA or surrounding state I would be interested to know how this forecast verified in those areas. A lot of time and and analysis went into these forecasts so it's nice to know if they panned out and what areas didn't. Totals for adjacent states except maybe TN should be in by tonight. Peripheral areas and areas to the N, NE and W probably won't be known until late Saturday or Sunday as Helene is absorbed into the cyclonic flow of the mid/upper level cutoff low and eventually dissipates. From radar returns it appears the coverage area was a little larger than originally anticipated, especially in VA, WV, KY, MO, and AR, so I expect some the forecasted totals in those areas to be on the higher side of the forecast range or possibly just above.
6-8" is expected in parts of FL panhandle, eastern AL, SE TN, GA, western NC, and NE SC, and extreme SW VA.
4-6" of rain is expected in many areas farther from the track as well as 2-4" as far away as AR, MO, KY, WV, central VA, central SC, central NC
Rainfall totals as of 9 AM EDT 9/27/2024
Atlanta, Hartsfield - Jackson Atlanta International Airport 10.9"
Fulton County Airport-Brown Field 9.6"
Peachtree City Atlanta Regional Airport-Falcon Field 9.4"
Marietta / Dobbins Air Force Base 9.1"
Lawrenceville Gwinnett County Airport-Briscoe Field 8.2"
Athens, Athens Airport 6.7"
Gainesville, Gilmer Memorial Airport 8.4"
Rome, R. B. Russell Airport 6.7"
Looks like the forecast worked out pretty well in northern GA, a little high in parts of central and southern GA where 4-4.5" seemed to be common. If anyone is in other areas of GA or surrounding state I would be interested to know how this forecast verified in those areas. A lot of time and and analysis went into these forecasts so it's nice to know if they panned out and what areas didn't. Totals for adjacent states except maybe TN should be in by tonight. Peripheral areas and areas to the N, NE and W probably won't be known until late Saturday or Sunday as Helene is absorbed into the cyclonic flow of the mid/upper level cutoff low and eventually dissipates. From radar returns it appears the coverage area was a little larger than originally anticipated, especially in VA, WV, KY, MO, and AR, so I expect some the forecasted totals in those areas to be on the higher side of the forecast range or possibly just above.
-PA